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Why Half the Stock Market Disappeared (And Where Smart Money Is Going Instead)

3rd December 2025

Tags: Podcasts

In this episode of The Legacy Lounge, we sit down with Jeff Carnrite, partner at Carnrite Ventures, a Houston-based venture capital firm that has spent over a decade identifying breakthrough companies at their earliest stages across energy tech, industrial tech, and healthcare innovation.

Jeff takes us inside the dramatic shift happening in capital markets: with half the publicly traded companies disappearing over the past 20 years and giants like Stripe and OpenAI staying private longer, the most significant wealth creation is now happening in markets that traditional investors never had access to before. He explains why this matters for high-net-worth families and how Carnrite's micro-fund strategy creates opportunities that larger venture firms simply cannot pursue.

He shares compelling portfolio stories, including the dermatology AI startup that nearly failed selling to doctors before pivoting to direct-to-consumer virtual care and scaling rapidly, and Colossal Biosciences, which has grown from a "de-extinct the woolly mammoth" moonshot to a $10+ billion platform revolutionizing biotech with applications far beyond conservation. Jeff also reveals how Carnrite's groundbreaking partnership with Rice University is bridging the gap between world-class research and commercial success through a first-of-its-kind venture studio.

Beyond individual investments, Jeff demystifies venture capital performance metrics. He discusses why manager selection is absolutely critical in venture, where the gap between top and bottom quartile funds is enormous, and how Carnrite's deep Houston network provides portfolio companies with customer introductions that can compress years-long sales cycles.

Jeff also opens up about building a people-first business alongside his father, the perspective-changing advice from a high school teacher that shapes how he evaluates opportunities today, why founder resilience (aka "true grit") matters more than any financial model, and his contrarian view on the "college pipeline dream" that dominated his generation's thinking. He discusses why Texas has become a builders' state attracting innovation, how AI's energy demands are reshaping infrastructure investment, and why Houston's world-class medical center deserves more biotech companies.

His insights on the democratization of venture capital, understanding illiquidity in private markets, evaluating fund vintages, and building a differentiated investment strategy make this essential viewing for family offices, high-net-worth individuals, and anyone seeking to understand where the next generation of wealth is being created.